A Beginners Look At ETF Trend Trading

by Patrick Deaton

If you’ve just entered ETF trading you are going to hear a lot about different types of trading, methods, and strategies. One of the popular discussions will include ETF Trend Trading. Some people talk about trend trading as though it is a separate kind of trading that isn’t related to ETF trading as a whole. Some sites will talk about ETF trend trading as a way to increase one’s gains in trading.

Trend trading is doing technical analysis on sectors to identify trends then hopping in when a trend begins and getting out when the trend shifts. Sound familiar? If you are doing the homework to be successful, you are already basing trades on trending. This is not a secret method of trading that will require more effort than one currently puts in if they are doing technical analysis and historical data collection prior to trading. It is more focused on the analytical indicators, but is not different.

When people do a historical analysis of a sector before they begin trading, they may look at a specific block of time. Some people do an analysis on a three or five year period and note the different trending indicators in that period of time. But, what is a sector, has a significant gain or loss every seven years? If a person has not included those years in their analysis, they can miss an opportunity to make a significant gain in their portfolio.

It can be easy for a person who likes to do analytical studies to get caught up in the analytics of a sector and miss opportunities that are presented. Technical analysis is a tool that will help you to make more effective trades. If you are missing opportunities because you are caught up in the analysis of sectors or indicators that appear, then you may want to set some limits on the extent of the analysis that you will do before beginning to put that knowledge to work for you.

Short term trends are usually historical data for a sector covering one to three years. A technical analysis using historical data of one to three years is going to show only trends that occur in that time frame. When a person is going to use short term trends as their primary indicator, they will need to move very quickly in creating a long position when the trend rising or short when the trend is dropping and get out quickly when there is a blip on the screen. Employing only short term trending may prevent a person from seeing trends that occur within a longer time period.

Long term trends cover a sector for a ten to thirty year period. Within that chart will be intermediate term trends that occur on a regular basis. Some sectors, especially financial products have more long term and intermediate trends than short-term trends in the market. By identifying the intermediate trends and using them in combination with short term trends a person has opened a whole new level of opportunities for making strategic trades and gains in their trading efforts.

Successful traders do not act without some background information on the sector in which they are trading. When a person hops in and out of trades without doing the research that is required to be effective, they may have some wins. But, they will have more lost opportunities than a person who knows when a trend is going to reverse and can take proactive steps before it starts to free-fall.

When a person has a long term ETF, they are most interested in long-term trends. A sector that is in a rising trend for ten years, then reverses course rapidly can catch a person unaware if they have not done the technical analysis to prepare for that reverse.

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